Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) at the Extremes (ISNET-6)

Europe/Berlin
Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20 (TU Darmstadt)

Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

TU Darmstadt

Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
Daniel Phillips (Ohio University) , David Ireland (University of Glasgow) , Dick Furnstahl (Ohio State University) , Ian Vernon (Durham University)
Description

This is the sixth meeting in the ISNET (Information and statistics in nuclear experiment and theory) series.  The aim of this series of workshops - involving the broad nuclear physics community, together with applied mathematics, statistics and computer science - is to discuss the use of applied mathematics, information theory and statistics in the analysis of experiments, and within the context of theoretical models that are dealing with current and future experimental data.

Goals

  • Facilitate cross communication, fertilization, and collaboration on statistical applications among the nuclear sub-fields.
  • Provide the opportunity for nuclear physicists unfamiliar with Bayesian methods to start applying them to new problems.
  • Learn from experts about innovative and advanced uses of Bayesian statistics, and best practices in applying them.
  • Learn about advanced computational tools and methods.
  • Critically examine the application of Bayesian and frequentist methods to particular physics problems in the subfields.
Poster
Travel information
Participants
  • Achim Schwenk
  • Alexandre Obertelli
  • Almudena Arcones
  • Andreas Ekström
  • Bastian Schuetrumpf
  • Ben Farmer
  • Bijaya Acharya
  • Carl Brune
  • Christian Forssén
  • Corbinian Wellenhofer
  • Daniel Lersch
  • Daniel Phillips
  • Dave Ireland
  • Deborah Rönchen
  • Dick Furnstahl
  • Eduardo Coello Perez
  • Emanuele Roberto Nocera
  • Farsane Baraki
  • Gabriel Martinez Pinedo
  • Hannah Elfner
  • Hans Feldmeier
  • Harald Griesshammer
  • Heiko Hergert
  • Ian Vernon
  • Innocent Opara
  • Jacek Dobaczewski
  • Jared O'Neal
  • Jeremy Oakley
  • John Bower
  • John Paul Gosling
  • Jordan Melendez
  • Judith McGovern
  • Julia Bliss
  • Kai Hebeler
  • Konstantinos Kravvaris
  • Krzysztof Graczyk
  • Léo Neufcourt
  • Maria Piarulli
  • Matthew Pratola
  • Matthew Shelley
  • Michael Doering
  • Michael Grosskopf
  • Nicole Vassh
  • Oscar Javier Hernandez
  • Paolo Pedroni
  • Paul-Gerhard Reinhard
  • Pierre Capel
  • Richard deBoer
  • Richard Wilkinson
  • Sarah Wesolowski
  • scott pratt
  • Sebastian König
  • Sebastian Neubert
  • Sonia Bacca
  • Stefan Typel
  • Stefan Wild
  • Svenja Greif
  • Tamara Niksic
  • Thomas Neff
  • Ulrich Heinz
  • Witold Nazarewicz
    • 18:00 20:00
      Welcome Reception 2h Wellnitz Cafe

      Wellnitz Cafe

      Kantplatz Darmstadt
    • 08:40 08:50
      Welcome 10m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Daniel Phillips (Ohio)
    • 08:50 09:50
      An introduction to Bayesian methods for physicists 1h Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Dick Furnstahl
      Slides
    • 09:50 10:40
      Global sensitivity analysis for complex models 50m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Jeremy Oakley (Sheffield)
      Slides
    • 10:40 11:05
      Coffee 25m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 11:05 11:15
      EMMI 10m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Carlo Ewerz (GSI, Darmstadt)
    • 11:15 11:50
      Examining the Origin of the r-process Rare-Earth Abundance Peak with Markov Chain Monte Carlo 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Nicole Vaash (Notre Dame)
      Slides
    • 11:50 12:25
      Nucleosynthesis in neutrino-driven supernova ejecta: astrophysical and nuclear physics uncertainties 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Julia Bliss
      Slides
    • 12:25 13:50
      Lunch 1h 25m
    • 13:50 14:40
      Capturing uncertainty about model inputs using expert elicitation 50m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: John-Paul Gosling (Leeds)
      Slides
    • 14:40 15:15
      Dynamical modeling of heavy-ion reactions 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Hannah Elfner (Frankfurt)
      Slides
    • 15:15 15:35
      Using Model Emulators for An Inverse Problem 20m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Scott Pratt (Michigan State University)
      Slides
    • 15:35 15:55
      Uncertainty quantification for the three-nucleon force with light-ion reactions 20m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Kostas Krawaris (Florida State / Lawrence Livermore National Lab)
      Slides
    • 15:55 16:20
      Coffee 25m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 16:20 16:55
      Uncertainty estimates from R-matrix analyses 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Richard deBoer (Notre Dame)
      Slides
    • 16:55 17:30
      A new bootstrap-based fitting method 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Paolo Pedroni (Pavia)
      Slides
    • 17:30 18:00
      Discussion: Tuesday Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 08:45 09:15
      There are no stupid questions Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 09:15 10:05
      Optimization problems in nuclear theory 50m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Stefan Wild (Argonne Nat. lab.)
      Slides
    • 10:05 10:40
      Optimization and parameter reduction in nuclear EDFs 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Tamara Niksic (Zagreb)
      Slides
    • 10:40 11:10
      Coffee 30m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 11:10 11:45
      Bayesian parameter estimation in NN scattering 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Sarah Wesolowski (Salisbury)
      Slides
    • 11:45 12:20
      Bayesian parameter estimation and model evidence for nuclear EFT 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Christian Forssén (Chalmers)
      Slides
    • 12:20 13:50
      Lunch 1h 30m
    • 13:50 14:40
      Using Bayesian approaches to design new expensive experiments 50m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Ian Vernon
      Slides
    • 14:40 15:15
      Compton scattering observables, errors, and goals 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Harald Grießhammer (George Washington)
      Slides
    • 15:15 15:50
      Statistical methods for Parton Distribution Functions 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Emmanuele Nocera (Edinburgh / NIKHEF)
      Slides
    • 15:50 16:20
      Coffee 30m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 16:20 16:55
      Uncertainty estimates for nuclear matter and neutron-rich nuclei 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Achim Schwenk (TU Darmstadt)
      Slides
    • 16:55 17:30
      Observables probing the nuclear pairing functional 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: P.-G. Reinhard (Erlangen)
      Slides
    • 17:30 18:00
      Discussion: Wednesday Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 08:30 08:50
      There are no stupid questions S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

    • 08:50 09:40
      Approximate Bayesian computation for expensive simulators 50m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Richard Wilkinson (Sheffield)
      Slides
    • 09:40 10:15
      Bayesian optimization of the NN interaction 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Andreas Ekström (Chalmers University of Technology)
      Slides
    • 10:15 10:50
      Global fits and Bayesian inference in "Beyond the Standard Model" physics 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Ben Farmer (Imperial College, London)
      Slides
    • 10:50 11:10
      Coffee 20m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

    • 11:10 11:45
      Model selection for the spectrum of light baryons 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Michael Döring (Geprge Washington)
      Slides
    • 11:45 12:20
      A statistical study of the transition from isolated resonances to the continuum 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Carl Brune (Ohio)
      Slides
    • 12:20 13:50
      Lunch 1h 30m
    • 13:50 14:40
      Computer model calibration, emulation, and discrepancy analysis 50m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Michael Grosskopf (Los Amalos National Lab)
      Slides
    • 14:40 15:15
      Quantifying Errors from Chiral Effective Field Theory 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Jordan Melendez (Ohio State)
    • 15:15 15:35
      Nuclear structure corrections in muonic atoms: Quantifying theoretical uncertainties 20m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Javier Hernandez (Victoria / Mainz)
      Slides
    • 15:35 15:55
      Gaussian Processes and Expected Improvement for Fitting Nuclear Models 20m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Matthew Shelley (New York)
      Slides
    • 15:55 16:20
      Coffee 25m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

    • 16:20 16:55
      Uncertainty in nuclear-reaction calculations involving halo nuclei 35m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Pierre Capel (Brussels / Mainz)
      Slides
    • 16:55 17:15
      Quantifying errors in EFTs of heavy nuclei 20m S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      Speaker: Toño Coello Perez (TU Darmstadt)
      Slides
    • 17:15 17:45
      Discussion: Thursday S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

      S1|20 109 Magdalenenstraße 8 1. UG (basement)

    • 19:00 23:00
      Conference Dinner 4h Restaurant Sitte

      Restaurant Sitte

    • 09:15 10:05
      Model-based extrapolation of nuclear observables via Bayesian machine learning 50m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Léo Neufcourt
      Slides
    • 10:05 10:25
      Extrapolations with Bayesian machine learning 20m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Witek Nazarewicz (Michigan State)
      Slides
    • 10:25 10:45
      Bayesian Model Mixing: A Nuclear Physics Perspective 20m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Vojtech Kejzlar (Michigan State University)
      Slides
    • 10:45 11:10
      Coffee 25m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
    • 11:10 11:45
      Nucleon axial form factor from a Bayesian neural-network analysis of neutrino-scattering data 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Krzysztof Graczyk (Wroclaw)
      Slides
    • 11:45 12:20
      Machine Learning and Precision Analysis at GlueX 35m Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt
      Speaker: Daniel Lersch (Florida State)
      Slides
    • 12:20 13:00
      Discussion: Friday Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      Seminarraum 18 Building S3|20

      TU Darmstadt

      Rundeturmstrasse 10 Darmstadt